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What is the Average Margin of Win in the NFL? Understanding the Stats

jim by jim
2024-11-16
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Well, if you’re askin’ ’bout the average margin of victory in the NFL, you gotta first understand that it don’t always stay the same, y’know. Sometimes the teams win big, and sometimes it’s a real close call, like two cows fighting over the last patch of grass. But, I reckon on average, the teams win by a handful of points each time, maybe somewhere around 21 points, give or take a few. Ain’t nobody can really predict it down to the last point, but we sure can look at what’s happened over the years to get a general idea.

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What is the Average Margin of Win in the NFL? Understanding the Stats

Now, back in the day, the Rochester Jeffersons done beat up on Fort Porter in 1920, a team that wasn’t even in the NFL. They won 66-0! Can you imagine that? That’s the biggest blowout ever, and I reckon it’d be something to see if it happened today. But these days, the NFL’s a whole different ballgame. Teams score a lot more but they also lose a lot more, and the margin of victory is all over the place. Like I said, the average win margin is around 21 points, but that’s just an average. Some games, it’s more, sometimes less, dependin’ on how the teams play that day.

In the 2023 season, the teams sure weren’t scoring like they used to. They said the average score was 21.4 points per game, and that was the lowest it’s been in years. I remember when teams would rack up over 30 points a game easy. But the NFL’s changed, and these days, you don’t see those big scores too much. Teams just ain’t putting up the same kind of numbers as they did back when the game first started. Things are a lot slower now, I reckon.

And speaking of how much a team wins by, when you’re lookin’ at home teams, they tend to win by just a couple points more than the away teams. Ain’t much of a difference, but on average, home teams win by about 2.1 points. That’s what they call a “home-field advantage,” though it don’t always pan out that way. Some seasons, a team might play like they’ve got a fire lit under ‘em, and they’ll beat the socks off the other team. But other times, it’s a real nail-biter, and you’re just sittin’ there prayin’ your team don’t mess up in the last few minutes.

Now, some teams are better at winning big than others. You take the Philadelphia Eagles, for instance. Back in 1934, they went and beat the Cincinnati Reds by 64-0. Ain’t that a score to remember? That’s a big ol’ gap right there, and it’s something most teams can only dream about these days. But, like I said, these big wins are rare. You ain’t gonna see many scores like that anymore. Teams these days don’t run up the score much. They’d rather play it safe and make sure they get the win, even if it’s just by a small margin.

Some seasons, you got teams that win by 10 points or more, but other times, you got a game that’s so close, you might as well flip a coin to see who wins. Take the Chicago Bears, for example. Their point differential this season’s been negative, which means they’ve been losing more than they’ve been winning. Ain’t no shame in it, though. Every team has their ups and downs, and sometimes you’re just in a slump. But what matters is how you play in the long run, and how much you win by when you do.

What is the Average Margin of Win in the NFL? Understanding the Stats

There’s also the fact that when you start lookin’ at these margins, it depends on a lotta things, like who’s playing, how they’re playin’, and whether or not the weather’s good. Sometimes, a team’s got the skills, but if the weather turns bad and they’re out there slippin’ around on the field, that can change the whole game. You gotta account for all that when you talk about margin of victory. It ain’t all about how good the team is, it’s about how they adjust to the circumstances, too.

But if you ask me, I say it don’t really matter if a team wins by one point or twenty. A win’s a win, and that’s what counts in the end. Sure, it’d be nice to see those big ol’ scores like back in the day, but the real joy is watchin’ a good game, no matter how much a team wins by. Sometimes, the closest games are the most exciting, and that’s what keeps folks comin’ back to watch year after year.

So, in a nutshell, the average margin of victory in the NFL is about 21 points, but that can change from season to season, and game to game. Home teams win a little more often, by about 2.1 points on average, but the bigger wins are fewer and farther between these days. If you’re lookin’ for a big blowout, you might have to go back to the old days, but for now, a small win will do just fine, as long as it’s a win.

Tags:[NFL, Average Margin, Winning, Point Differential, Home Team Advantage, NFL History, NFL Scoring]

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